modeling and valuation of energy structures analytics econometrics and numerics applied quantitative finance

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Modeling And Valuation Of Energy Structures

Author : Daniel Mahoney
ISBN : 9781137560155
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 82. 92 MB
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Commodity markets present several challenges for quantitative modeling. These include high volatilities, small sample data sets, and physical, operational complexity. In addition, the set of traded products in commodity markets is more limited than in financial or equity markets, making value extraction through trading more difficult. These facts make it very easy for modeling efforts to run into serious problems, as many models are very sensitive to noise and hence can easily fail in practice. Modeling and Valuation of Energy Structures is a comprehensive guide to quantitative and statistical approaches that have been successfully employed in support of trading operations, reflecting the author's 17 years of experience as a front-office 'quant'. The major theme of the book is that simpler is usually better, a message that is drawn out through the reality of incomplete markets, small samples, and informational constraints. The necessary mathematical tools for understanding these issues are thoroughly developed, with many techniques (analytical, econometric, and numerical) collected in a single volume for the first time. A particular emphasis is placed on the central role that the underlying market resolution plays in valuation. Examples are provided to illustrate that robust, approximate valuations are to be preferred to overly ambitious attempts at detailed qualitative modeling.

The Validation Of Risk Models

Author : S. Scandizzo
ISBN : 9781137436962
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 25. 29 MB
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This book is a one-stop-shop reference for risk management practitioners involved in the validation of risk models. It is a comprehensive manual about the tools, techniques and processes to be followed, focused on all the models that are relevant in the capital requirements and supervisory review of large international banks.

Equity Derivatives And Hybrids

Author : Oliver Brockhaus
ISBN : 9781137349491
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 50. 96 MB
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Since the development of the Black-Scholes model, research on equity derivatives has evolved rapidly to the point where it is now difficult to cut through the myriad of literature to find relevant material. Written by a quant with many years of experience in the field this book provides an up-to-date account of equity and equity-hybrid (equity-rates, equity-credit, equity-foreign exchange) derivatives modeling from a practitioner's perspective. The content reflects the requirements of practitioners in financial institutions: Quants will find a survey of state-of-the-art models and guidance on how to efficiently implement them with regards to market data representation, calibration, and sensitivity computation. Traders and structurers will learn about structured products, selection of the most appropriate models, as well as efficient hedging methods while risk managers will better understand market, credit, and model risk and find valuable information on advanced correlation concepts. Equity Derivatives and Hybrids provides exhaustive coverage of both market standard and new approaches, including: -Empirical properties of stock returns including autocorrelation and jumps -Dividend discount models -Non-Markovian and discrete-time volatility processes -Correlation skew modeling via copula as well as local and stochastic correlation factors -Hybrid modeling covering local and stochastic processes for interest rate, hazard rate, and volatility as well as closed form solutions -Credit, debt, and funding valuation adjustment (CVA, DVA, FVA) -Monte Carlo techniques for sensitivities including algorithmic differentiation, path recycling, as well as multilevel. Written in a highly accessible manner with examples, applications, research, and ideas throughout, this book provides a valuable resource for quantitative-minded practitioners and researchers.

Optimization Methods For Gas And Power Markets

Author : Enrico Edoli
ISBN : 9781137412973
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 37. 32 MB
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As power and gas markets are becoming more and more mature and globally competitive, the importance of reaching maximum potential economic efficiency is fundamental in all the sectors of the value chain, from investments selection to asset optimization, trading and sales. Optimization techniques can be used in many different fields of the energy industry, in order to reduce production and financial costs, increase sales revenues and mitigate all kinds of risks potentially affecting the economic margin. For this reason the industry has now focused its attention on the general concept of optimization and to the different techniques (mainly mathematical techniques) to reach it. Optimization Methods for Gas and Power Markets presents both theoretical elements and practical examples for solving energy optimization issues in gas and power markets. Starting with the theoretical framework and the basic business and economics of power and gas optimization, it quickly moves on to review the mathematical optimization problems inherent to the industry, and their solutions – all supported with examples from the energy sector. Coverage ranges from very long-term (and capital intensive) optimization problems such as investment valuation/diversification to asset (gas and power) optimization/hedging problems, and pure trading decisions. This book first presents the readers with various examples of optimization problems arising in power and gas markets, then deals with general optimization problems and describes the mathematical tools useful for their solution. The remainder of the book is dedicated to presenting a number of key business cases which apply the proposed techniques to concrete market problems. Topics include static asset optimization, real option evaluation, dynamic optimization of structured products like swing, virtual storage or virtual power plant contracts and optimal trading in intra-day power markets. As the book progresses, so too does the level of mathematical complexity, providing readers with an appreciation of the growing sophistication of even common problems in current market practice. Optimization Methods for Gas and Power Markets provides a valuable quantitative guide to the technicalities of optimization methodologies in gas and power markets; it is essential reading for practitioners in the energy industry and financial sector who work in trading, quantitative analysis and energy risk modeling.

Optimization Methods In Finance

Author : Gérard Cornuéjols
ISBN : 9781107056749
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 87. 98 MB
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Full treatment, from model formulation to computational implementation, of optimization techniques that solve central problems in finance.

Change Of Time And Change Of Measure

Author : Ole E Barndorff-Nielsen
ISBN : 9789814678605
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 52. 61 MB
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Change of Time and Change of Measure provides a comprehensive account of two topics that are of particular significance in both theoretical and applied stochastics: random change of time and change of probability law. Random change of time is key to understanding the nature of various stochastic processes, and gives rise to interesting mathematical results and insights of importance for the modeling and interpretation of empirically observed dynamic processes. Change of probability law is a technique for solving central questions in mathematical finance, and also has a considerable role in insurance mathematics, large deviation theory, and other fields. The book comprehensively collects and integrates results from a number of scattered sources in the literature and discusses the importance of the results relative to the existing literature, particularly with regard to mathematical finance. In this Second Edition a Chapter 13 entitled 'A Wider View' has been added. This outlines some of the developments that have taken place in the area of Change of Time and Change of Measure since the publication of the First Edition. Most of these developments have their root in the study of the Statistical Theory of Turbulence rather than in Financial Mathematics and Econometrics, and they form part of the new research area termed 'Ambit Stochastics'.

Analysis Of Financial Time Series

Author : Ruey S. Tsay
ISBN : 9780471746188
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 57. 27 MB
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Provides statistical tools and techniques needed to understand today's financial markets The Second Edition of this critically acclaimed text provides a comprehensive and systematic introduction to financial econometric models and their applications in modeling and predicting financial time series data. This latest edition continues to emphasize empirical financial data and focuses on real-world examples. Following this approach, readers will master key aspects of financial time series, including volatility modeling, neural network applications, market microstructure and high-frequency financial data, continuous-time models and Ito's Lemma, Value at Risk, multiple returns analysis, financial factor models, and econometric modeling via computation-intensive methods. The author begins with the basic characteristics of financial time series data, setting the foundation for the three main topics: Analysis and application of univariate financial time series Return series of multiple assets Bayesian inference in finance methods This new edition is a thoroughly revised and updated text, including the addition of S-Plus® commands and illustrations. Exercises have been thoroughly updated and expanded and include the most current data, providing readers with more opportunities to put the models and methods into practice. Among the new material added to the text, readers will find: Consistent covariance estimation under heteroscedasticity and serial correlation Alternative approaches to volatility modeling Financial factor models State-space models Kalman filtering Estimation of stochastic diffusion models The tools provided in this text aid readers in developing a deeper understanding of financial markets through firsthand experience in working with financial data. This is an ideal textbook for MBA students as well as a reference for researchers and professionals in business and finance.

Applied Quantitative Finance

Author : Wolfgang Karl Härdle
ISBN : 9783662544860
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 55. 80 MB
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This volume provides practical solutions and introduces recent theoretical developments in risk management, pricing of credit derivatives, quantification of volatility and copula modeling. This third edition is devoted to modern risk analysis based on quantitative methods and textual analytics to meet the current challenges in banking and finance. It includes 14 new contributions and presents a comprehensive, state-of-the-art treatment of cutting-edge methods and topics, such as collateralized debt obligations, the high-frequency analysis of market liquidity, and realized volatility. The book is divided into three parts: Part 1 revisits important market risk issues, while Part 2 introduces novel concepts in credit risk and its management along with updated quantitative methods. The third part discusses the dynamics of risk management and includes risk analysis of energy markets and for cryptocurrencies. Digital assets, such as blockchain-based currencies, have become popular b ut are theoretically challenging when based on conventional methods. Among others, it introduces a modern text-mining method called dynamic topic modeling in detail and applies it to the message board of Bitcoins. The unique synthesis of theory and practice supported by computational tools is reflected not only in the selection of topics, but also in the fine balance of scientific contributions on practical implementation and theoretical concepts. This link between theory and practice offers theoreticians insights into considerations of applicability and, vice versa, provides practitioners convenient access to new techniques in quantitative finance. Hence the book will appeal both to researchers, including master and PhD students, and practitioners, such as financial engineers. The results presented in the book are fully reproducible and all quantlets needed for calculations are provided on an accompanying website. The Quantlet platform,, is an integrated QuantNet environment consisting of different types of statistics-related documents and program codes. Its goal is to promote reproducibility and offer a platform for sharing validated knowledge native to the social web. QuantNet and the corresponding Data-Driven Documents-based visualization allows readers to reproduce the tables, pictures and calculations inside this Springer book.

Change Of Time Methods In Quantitative Finance

Author : Anatoliy Swishchuk
ISBN : 9783319324081
Genre : Mathematics
File Size : 25. 38 MB
Format : PDF
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This book is devoted to the history of Change of Time Methods (CTM), the connections of CTM to stochastic volatilities and finance, fundamental aspects of the theory of CTM, basic concepts, and its properties. An emphasis is given on many applications of CTM in financial and energy markets, and the presented numerical examples are based on real data. The change of time method is applied to derive the well-known Black-Scholes formula for European call options, and to derive an explicit option pricing formula for a European call option for a mean-reverting model for commodity prices. Explicit formulas are also derived for variance and volatility swaps for financial markets with a stochastic volatility following a classical and delayed Heston model. The CTM is applied to price financial and energy derivatives for one-factor and multi-factor alpha-stable Levy-based models. Readers should have a basic knowledge of probability and statistics, and some familiarity with stochastic processes, such as Brownian motion, Levy process and martingale.

Econometric Modeling Of Value At Risk

Author : Timotheos Angelidis
ISBN : 1607410400
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 85. 80 MB
Format : PDF
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Recently risk management has become a standard prerequisite for all financial institutions. Value-at-Risk is the main tool of reporting to the bank regulators the risk that the financial institutions face. As it is essential to estimate it accurately, numerous methods have been proposed in order to minimise the forecast error. This book provides a selective survey of the risk management techniques that have been applied and discusses potential improvements in estimating, evaluating and adjusting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall.

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