the sixth crisis iran israel america and the rumors of war international institute for strategic studies

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The Sixth Crisis

Author : Dana Allin
ISBN : 9780199781461
Genre : Religion
File Size : 80. 19 MB
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There have been five central crises in America's post World War II encounter with the Middle East, and the Obama administration now faces a sixth. Iran's progress toward a nuclear weapons capability, and the prospect of Israel launching air strikes to stop it, are ingredients for a conflict that could ruin any residual hopes for fostering peace in the region. The Sixth Crisis explores the fraught linkages between the Iranian nuclear challenge, the increasing likelihood of an Israeli preventive strike, the continuing Israel-Palestine tragedy, and President Barack Obama's efforts to recast America's relations with the world's Muslims. It is the first full account of the situation since Obama took office. The authors, a former senior official on President Clinton's National Security Council Staff and a leading authority on international politics, lay out in clear and accessible detail the technical and political dimensions of Iran's nuclear program, and the ongoing diplomacy to stop it. They show how Israel's panic about Iran's nuclear threat--combined with its policy toward the Palestinians--is undermining Jerusalem's alliance with America. Tehran, meanwhile, is exploiting tensions between Arab regimes fearful of a nuclear Iran and an Arab public that is both angry about the plight of the Palestinians and resentful of Israel's nuclear monopoly in the region. The Sixth Crisis brilliantly illuminates this fateful juncture. The status quo is on an incline to disaster, and the hopes that President Obama has inspired are threatened by the toxic mixture of Israeli-Palestinian stalemate and Iran's nuclear ambitions. The time bomb of Iran's defiance and Israel's panic has the potential to spark a firestorm that would imperil US interests in the Middle East and engulf Obama's presidency. With the outcome of this unfolding crisis far from certain, The Sixth Crisis is required reading not only for policymakers, but also for anyone interested in world politics.

The Obama Presidency

Author : Bert A. Rockman
ISBN : 9781483301624
Genre : Political Science
File Size : 34. 8 MB
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In the latest volume in this classic series, Rockman, Rudalevige, and Campbell once again bring together top-notch scholars, this time to take a comprehensive look at the first two years of Barack Obama’s presidency. Assessing Obama’s political strategy, as well as his administration’s successes and setbacks, chapter authors critically examine a presidency marked by continued partisanship, major policy battles, and continued global turmoil.

The Iran Wars

Author : Jay Solomon
ISBN : 9780812993646
Genre : History
File Size : 61. 9 MB
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This is the deeply reported, riveting account of a war waged on

Squandered Opportunity

Author : Thomas Juneau
ISBN : 9780804795081
Genre : Political Science
File Size : 77. 61 MB
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The Islamic Republic of Iran faced a favorable strategic environment following the US invasions of Afghanistan in 2001 and Iraq in 2003. Its leadership attempted to exploit this window of opportunity by assertively seeking to expand Iran's interests throughout the Middle East. It fell far short, however, of fulfilling its long-standing ambition of becoming the dominant power in the Persian Gulf and a leading regional power in the broader Middle East. In Squandered Opportunity, Thomas Juneau develops a variant of neoclassical realism, a theory of foreign policy mistakes, to explore the causes and consequences of Iran's sub-optimal performance. He argues that while rising power drove Iranian assertiveness—as most variants of realism would predict—the peculiar nature of Iran's power and the intervention of specific domestic factors caused Iran's foreign policy to deviate, sometimes significantly, from what would be considered the potential optimal outcomes. Juneau explains that this sub-optimal foreign policy led to important and negative consequences for the country. Despite some gains, Iran failed to maximize its power, its security and its influence in three crucial areas: the Arab-Israeli conflict; Iraq; and the nuclear program. Juneau also predicts that, as the window of opportunity steadily closes for Iran, its power, security, and influence will likely continue to decline in coming years.

Countdown To Crisis

Author : Kenneth R. Timmerman
ISBN : 1400053692
Genre : History
File Size : 29. 71 MB
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The author of The French Betrayal of America offers a chilling look at the growing national security threat involving the nuclear capabilities of Iran, providing a revealing exposé of the intelligence blunders and foreign policy decisions that have increased the threat, as well as the complicity of Iran in the September 11th attack. Reprint. 15,000 first printing.

Containing Iran

Author : Robert J. Reardon
ISBN : 9780833076359
Genre : History
File Size : 81. 96 MB
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Iran's nuclear program is one of this century's principal foreign policy challenges. Despite U.S., Israeli, and allied efforts, Iran has an extensive enrichment program and likely has the technical capacity to produce at least one nuclear bomb if it so chose. This study assesses U.S. policy options, identifies a way forward, and considers how the United States might best mitigate the negative international effects of a nuclear-armed Iran.

The Israel Palestine Conflict

Author : Neil Caplan
ISBN : 9781444357868
Genre : History
File Size : 46. 99 MB
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The Israel-Palestine Conflict: Contested Histories providesnon-specialist readers with an introduction and historical overviewof the issues that have characterized and defined 130 years of thestill unresolved Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Provides a fresh attempt to break away from polemicalapproaches that have undermined academic discussion and politicaldebates Focuses on a series of core arguments that the author considersessentially unwinnable Introduces readers to the major historiographical debatessparked by the dispute Encourages readers to consider more useful ways of explainingand understanding the conflict, and to go beyond trying to provewho is ‘right’ and ‘wrong’ "This volume suggests a fresh and original interpretation to thehistory of the Arab Israeli conflict. Caplan juggles skillfully andeven-handedly between the two narratives, reflecting theparties’ own views without embracing the cause of anyparty." –Joseph Nevo, University of Haifa "An impressive and very valuable work. One could not ask for abetter short history of the conflict. Caplan offers readers a studythat is extremely well-informed, resolutely fair-minded, and filledwith thoughtful insights." –Mark Tessler, University of Michigan

Iran S Nuclear Future

Author : Lynn Etheridge Davis
ISBN : 9780833053084
Genre : History
File Size : 45. 53 MB
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As Irans nuclear program evolves, U.S. decisionmakers will confront a series of critical policy choices involving complex considerations and trade-offs. The U.S. Air Force will need to prepare to carry out whatever policies are chosen.

Coping With Iran

Author : James Dobbins
ISBN : 9780833042385
Genre : Political Science
File Size : 53. 12 MB
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On March 21, 2007, the RAND Corporation held a public conference on Capitol Hill, "Coping with Iran: Confrontation, Containment, or Engagement?" Participants sought to discuss the benefits and drawbacks of various policy options to address the Iranian challenge. This report summarizes remarks presented during the conference. The views expressed in this document are those of the participants, as interpreted by the RAND Corporation.

The Icarus Syndrome

Author : Peter Beinart
ISBN : 9780522858044
Genre : Ambition
File Size : 33. 81 MB
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In The Icarus Syndrome, Peter Beinart tells a tale as old as the Greeks - a story about the seductions of success. Beinart describes Washington on the eve of three wars - World War I, Vietnam and Iraq - three moments when American leaders decided they could remake the world in their image. Each time, leading intellectuals declared that history was over, and the spread of democracy was inevitable. Each time, a president held the nation in the palm of his hand. And each time, a war conceived in arrogance brought untold tragedy. In dazzling colour, Beinart portrays three extraordinary generations: the progressives who took America into World War I, led by Woodrow Wilson, the lonely preacher's son who became the closest thing to a political messiah the world had ever seen. The Camelot intellectuals who took America into Vietnam, led by Lyndon Johnson, who lay awake night after night shaking with fear that his countrymen considered him weak. And George W. Bush and the post-cold war neoconservatives, the romantic bullies who believed they could bludgeon the Middle East and liberate it at the same time. Like Icarus, each of these generations crafted 'wings' - a theory about America's relationship to the world. They flapped carefully at first, but gradually lost their inhibitions until, giddy with success, they flew into the sun. But every era also brought new leaders and thinkers who found wisdom in pain. They reconciled American optimism - our belief that anything is possible - with the realities of a world that will never fully bend to our will. In their struggles lie the seeds of American renewal today. Based on years of research, The Icarus Syndrome is a provocative and strikingly original account of hubris in the American century - and how we learn from the tragedies that result.

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